financeФинансы: теория и практика/Finance: Theory and PracticeFinance: Theory and Practice2587-56712587-7089Financial University under The Government of Russian Federationfinance-336Research ArticleПУБЛИКАЦИИ МОЛОДЫХ УЧЕНЫХPUBLICATIONS OF YOUNG SCIENTISTSПАРИЖСКОЕ СОГЛАШЕНИЕ ПО КЛИМАТУ КАК ОПРЕДЕЛЯЮЩИЙ ФАКТОР БУДУЩЕГО МИРОВОЙ ЭКОНОМИКИ И ПОСЛЕДСТВИЯ ДЛЯ РОССИИTHE PARIS CLIMATE AGREEMENT AS A DETERMINANT OF THE FUTURE GLOBAL ECONOMY AND ITS IMPLICATIONS FOR RUSSIAНоскоП. А.NoskoP. A.polina.nosko@gmail.comФинансовый университет при Правительстве РФРоссияFinancial University under the Government of the Russian FederationRussian Federation201710102017211145150Copyright © Носко П.А., 20172017Носко П.А.Nosko P.A.Данная работа распространяется под лицензией Creative Commons Attribution 4.0.This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.https://financetp.fa.ru/jour/article/view/336

Парижское соглашение по климату стало дополнительным стимулом развития экологически чистой энергии. Проблема изменения климата побудила наиболее развитые индустриальные страны увеличивать долю возобновляемых источников энергии в энергобалансе. В статье рассмотрен вопрос предстоящих изменений в секторе энергетики на мировом уровне и их последствий для России. На сегодняшний день сохраняется высокая зависимость российской экономики от сырьевого экспорта, что препятствует ее полноценному развитию. Угольная промышленность страны терпит значительные убытки, тогда как на мировом уровне прогнозируется снижение доли угля в энергетическом комплексе. В этой связи представляется необходимым пересмотреть планы Российской Федерации по увеличению добычи угля и строительству новых угольных электростанций на период до 2030 г. Страна обладает как природными, так и технологическими возможностями развития возобновляемых источников энергии, прежде всего, гидроэнергетики, потенциал которой в настоящее время недоиспользован. Развитие экологически чистой энергии в России представляется благоприятным для экономики, осуществимым и необходимым для выполнения взятых на международном уровне обязательств, связанных с изменением климата.

The Paris Climate Change Agreement has become an additional incentive for clean power development. The global warming problem has encouraged major economies to ramp up renewables share in the energy mix. This paper discusses the issue of a forthcoming transformation in the global energy sector and its implications for the Russian Federation. The Russian economy remains highly dependent on raw materials exports, which hinders its proper development. The country’s coal industry faces large losses, while the coal’s role in the power sector at a global level is forecasted to diminish. For this reason, Russia’s plans on increasing the coal production and launching new coal-fired plants until 2030, for which purpose large sums are laid out, should be reconsidered. The country, in turn, has a natural and technological potential in developing renewables, mainly hydropower, which is underutilized nowadays. Clean energy development in Russia is viewed to be beneficial to the economy, feasible, and crucial for meeting climate change-related obligations declared at the international level.

чистая энергияизменение климатаугольная промышленностьвозобновляемые источники энергииclean energyclimate changecoal industryrenewablesReferencesAven P., Nazarov V., Lazaryan S. Awakening from oil dream. Forbes, 2016 [Electronic Resource]. Available at: http://www.forbes.ru/mneniya/krizis/320553-probuzhdenie-ot-neftyanogo-sna (Accessed: 10.11.2016) (in Russian).Aven P., Nazarov V., Lazaryan S. Awakening from oil dream. Forbes, 2016 [Electronic Resource]. Available at: http://www.forbes.ru/mneniya/krizis/320553-probuzhdenie-ot-neftyanogo-sna (Accessed: 10.11.2016) (in Russian).Byrkova E. Overview of Russia’s foreign trade in the first half of 2016: figures and facts. PROVED, 18.08.2016 [Electronic Resource]. Available at: http://провэд.рф/analytics/research/36509-obzop-vneshney-topgovli-possii-v-pepvoy-polovine-2016-goda-tsifpy-i-fakty.html (Accessed: 09.11.2016) (in Russian).Byrkova E. Overview of Russia’s foreign trade in the first half of 2016: figures and facts. PROVED, 18.08.2016 [Electronic Resource]. Available at: http://провэд.рф/analytics/research/36509-obzop-vneshney-topgovli-possii-v-pepvoy-polovine-2016-goda-tsifpy-i-fakty.html (Accessed: 09.11.2016) (in Russian).Davidova А. Decision on heat. Commersant-Vlast, 2016, no. 33, p. 32 [Electronic Resource]. Available at: http://www.kommersant.ru/doc/3069138 (Accessed: 7.11.2016) (in Russian).Davidova А. Decision on heat. Commersant-Vlast, 2016, no. 33, p. 32 [Electronic Resource]. Available at: http://www.kommersant.ru/doc/3069138 (Accessed: 7.11.2016) (in Russian).Davidova A. Russia is invited to a non-carbon future. Kommersant, 2016 [Electronic Resource]. Available at: http://www.kommersant.ru/doc/3017160 (Accessed: 05.11.2016) (in Russian).Davidova A. Russia is invited to a non-carbon future. Kommersant, 2016 [Electronic Resource]. Available at: http://www.kommersant.ru/doc/3017160 (Accessed: 05.11.2016) (in Russian).Decree of the Government of the Russian Federation no. 1099, 21.06.2014, Moscow. Published by the Government of the Russian Federation (in Russian).Decree of the Government of the Russian Federation no. 1099, 21.06.2014, Moscow. Published by the Government of the Russian Federation (in Russian).Doulhy J., Harris A. Obama’s Clean Power Plan Heads to Court: What to know. Bloomberg, 2016 [Electronic Resource]. Available at: http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-09-23/obama-s-clean-power-plan-heads-to-court-what-to-know (Accessed: 16.11.2016).Doulhy J., Harris A. Obama’s Clean Power Plan Heads to Court: What to know. Bloomberg, 2016 [Electronic Resource]. Available at: http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-09-23/obama-s-clean-power-plan-heads-to-court-what-to-know (Accessed: 16.11.2016).Espinosa P., Mezouar S. It’s official: Paris Agreement Becomes International Law. Ecowatch, 2016. [Electronic resource]. Available at: http://www.ecowatch.com/paris-agreement-international-law-2079078723.html (Accessed: 15.11.2016).Espinosa P., Mezouar S. It’s official: Paris Agreement Becomes International Law. Ecowatch, 2016. [Electronic resource]. Available at: http://www.ecowatch.com/paris-agreement-international-law-2079078723.html (Accessed: 15.11.2016).Evplanov A. They don’t bet on black. Rossiyskaya gazeta - Economika, 2012, no. 5968 (295) [Electronic Resource]. Available at: https://rg.ru/2012/12/21/ugli.html (Accessed: 20.11.2016).Evplanov A. They don’t bet on black. Rossiyskaya gazeta - Economika, 2012, no. 5968 (295) [Electronic Resource]. Available at: https://rg.ru/2012/12/21/ugli.html (Accessed: 20.11.2016).Grigoryev A. Huddled to coal. Rossiyaskaya gazeta, 09.02.2016, Federal issue no. 6895 (27). (in Russian) [Electronic Resource]. Available at: https://rg.ru/2016/02/09/rossiya-v-2015-godu-postavila-rekord-po-dobyche-uglia.htmlGrigoryev A. Huddled to coal. Rossiyaskaya gazeta, 09.02.2016, Federal issue no. 6895 (27). (in Russian) [Electronic Resource]. Available at: https://rg.ru/2016/02/09/rossiya-v-2015-godu-postavila-rekord-po-dobyche-uglia.htmlIEA. Renewable energy continuing to increase market share. IEA Newsroom [Electronic Resource]. Available at: https://www.iea.org/newsroom/news/2016/july/renewable-energy-continuing-to-increase-market-share.html (Accessed: 23.08.2016).IEA. Renewable energy continuing to increase market share. IEA Newsroom [Electronic Resource]. Available at: https://www.iea.org/newsroom/news/2016/july/renewable-energy-continuing-to-increase-market-share.html (Accessed: 23.08.2016).IEA. World Energy Outlook 2016: Executive Summary [Electronic resource]. Available at: https://www.iea.org/publications/freepublications/publication/WorldEnergyOutlook2016ExecutiveSummaryEnglish.pdf (Accessed: 18.11.2016).IEA. World Energy Outlook 2016: Executive Summary [Electronic resource]. Available at: https://www.iea.org/publications/freepublications/publication/WorldEnergyOutlook2016ExecutiveSummaryEnglish.pdf (Accessed: 18.11.2016).IRENA. Renewable Energy Benefits: Measuring the Economics. 2016, Abu Dhabi. [Electronic Resource]. Available at: http://www.irena.org/DocumentDownloads/Publications/IRENA_Measuring-the-Economics_2016.pdf (Accessed: 11.11.2016).IRENA. Renewable Energy Benefits: Measuring the Economics. 2016, Abu Dhabi. [Electronic Resource]. Available at: http://www.irena.org/DocumentDownloads/Publications/IRENA_Measuring-the-Economics_2016.pdf (Accessed: 11.11.2016).Kokorin A. Paris Climate Conference: Success or Failure. Nezavisimaya gazeta, 2016 [Electronic Resource]. Available at: http://www.ng.ru/ng_energiya/2016-01-12/9_climat.html (Accessed: 02.11.2016) (in Russian).Kokorin A. Paris Climate Conference: Success or Failure. Nezavisimaya gazeta, 2016 [Electronic Resource]. Available at: http://www.ng.ru/ng_energiya/2016-01-12/9_climat.html (Accessed: 02.11.2016) (in Russian).Mathiesen K. Global carbon intensity falls as coal use declines. The Guardian, 2016. [Electronic Resource]. Available at: https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2016/nov/01/global-carbon-intensity-falls-as-coal-use-declines (Accessed: 14.11.2016).Mathiesen K. Global carbon intensity falls as coal use declines. The Guardian, 2016. [Electronic Resource]. Available at: https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2016/nov/01/global-carbon-intensity-falls-as-coal-use-declines (Accessed: 14.11.2016).McKinsey & Company. Pathways to an energy and carbon efficient Russia. 2009, Moscow [Electronic Resource]. Available at: http://www.mckinsey.com/business-functions/sustainability-and-resource-productivity/our-insights/pathways-to-an-energy-and-carbon-efficient-russiaMcKinsey & Company. Pathways to an energy and carbon efficient Russia. 2009, Moscow [Electronic Resource]. Available at: http://www.mckinsey.com/business-functions/sustainability-and-resource-productivity/our-insights/pathways-to-an-energy-and-carbon-efficient-russiaNovak A. On state and prospects of, proposals on the coal industry. Government of the Russian Federation, 04.04.2016 [Electronic Resource]. Available at: http://government.ru/news/22437/ (Accessed: 04.11.2016) (in Russian).Novak A. On state and prospects of, proposals on the coal industry. Government of the Russian Federation, 04.04.2016 [Electronic Resource]. Available at: http://government.ru/news/22437/ (Accessed: 04.11.2016) (in Russian).Podorvanyuk N. Solar-oil future of Russia. Gazeta.ru, 20.06.2016 [Electronic Resource]. Available at: https://www.gazeta.ru/science/2016/06/20_a_8317709.shtml (Accessed: 21.11.2016) (in Russian).Podorvanyuk N. Solar-oil future of Russia. Gazeta.ru, 20.06.2016 [Electronic Resource]. Available at: https://www.gazeta.ru/science/2016/06/20_a_8317709.shtml (Accessed: 21.11.2016) (in Russian).Siberian Coal Energy Company, SUEK. Annual Report 2015 [Electronic Resource]. Available at: http://www.suek.ru/assets/uploads/2016/09/SUEK_Annual_Report_2015_eng.pdf# (Accessed: 13.11.2016) (in Russian).Siberian Coal Energy Company, SUEK. Annual Report 2015 [Electronic Resource]. Available at: http://www.suek.ru/assets/uploads/2016/09/SUEK_Annual_Report_2015_eng.pdf# (Accessed: 13.11.2016) (in Russian).United Nations Climate Change Secretariat. Summary of GHG emissions for Russian Federation. Available at: https://unfccc.int/files/ghg_emissions_data/application/pdf/rus_ghg_profile.pdfUnited Nations Climate Change Secretariat. Summary of GHG emissions for Russian Federation. Available at: https://unfccc.int/files/ghg_emissions_data/application/pdf/rus_ghg_profile.pdfUnited Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change. INDCs as communicated by Parties. Russian INDC [Electronic resource]. Available at: http://www4.unfccc.int/submissions/indc/Submission%20Pages/submissions.aspx (Accessed: 19.11.2016).United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change. INDCs as communicated by Parties. Russian INDC [Electronic resource]. Available at: http://www4.unfccc.int/submissions/indc/Submission%20Pages/submissions.aspx (Accessed: 19.11.2016).Wong E. Trump Has Called Climate Change a Chinese Hoax. Beijing Says It Is Anything But. The New York Times, 2016 [Electronic resource]. Available at: http://www.nytimes.com/2016/11/19/world/asia/china-trump-climate-change.html?_r=0 (Accessed: 20.11.2016).Wong E. Trump Has Called Climate Change a Chinese Hoax. Beijing Says It Is Anything But. The New York Times, 2016 [Electronic resource]. Available at: http://www.nytimes.com/2016/11/19/world/asia/china-trump-climate-change.html?_r=0 (Accessed: 20.11.2016).

The authors declare that there are no conflicts of interest present.