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<article article-type="research-article" dtd-version="1.3" xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance" xml:lang="ru"><front><journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">finance</journal-id><journal-title-group><journal-title xml:lang="ru">Финансы: теория и практика/Finance: Theory and Practice</journal-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>Finance: Theory and Practice</trans-title></trans-title-group></journal-title-group><issn pub-type="ppub">2587-5671</issn><issn pub-type="epub">2587-7089</issn><publisher><publisher-name>Financial University under The Government of Russian Federation</publisher-name></publisher></journal-meta><article-meta><article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.26794/2587-5671-2018-0-0-4-41</article-id><article-id custom-type="elpub" pub-id-type="custom">finance-748</article-id><article-categories><subj-group subj-group-type="heading"><subject>Research Article</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="ru"><subject>Статьи</subject></subj-group></article-categories><title-group><article-title>Федеральный бюджет на 2019–2021 годы: сбалансированность или экономический рост? (заключение на проект федерального закона № 556362-7 «О федеральном бюджете на 2019 год и плановый период 2020 и 2021 годов»)</article-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>The Federal budget for the years 2019–2021: fiscal balance or economic growth? (conclusion on the draft Federal law No. 556362-7 “On the Federal budget for 2019 and the planning period 2020 and 2021”)</trans-title></trans-title-group></title-group><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4377-8878</contrib-id><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Солянникова</surname><given-names>С. П.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Solyannikova</surname><given-names>S. P.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>кандидат экономических наук, доцент, руководитель Департаментаобщественных финансов,</p><p>Москва</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Cand. Sci. (Econ.), Associate Professor, Head of the Department ofPublic Finance,</p><p>Moscow</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">SSolyannikova@fa.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7707-8293</contrib-id><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Аландаров</surname><given-names>Р. А.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Alandarov</surname><given-names>R. A.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>кандидат экономических наук, доцент Департамента общественныхфинансов,</p><p>Москва</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Cand. Sci. (Econ.), Associate Professor, the Department of Public Finance,</p><p>Moscow</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">RAAlandarov@fa.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3144-6884</contrib-id><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Горлова</surname><given-names>О. С.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Gorlova</surname><given-names>O. S.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>кандидат экономических наук, доцент Департамента общественныхфинансов,</p><p>Москва</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Cand. Sci. (Econ.), Associate Professor, the Department of Public Finance,</p><p>Moscow</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">RAAlandarov@fa.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5120-7816</contrib-id><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Караев</surname><given-names>А. К.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Karaev</surname><given-names>A. K.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>доктор технических наук, профессор, главный научный сотрудник Центрафинансовой политики Департамента общественных финансов,</p><p>Москва</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Dr. Sci. (Engin.), Professor, chief researcher, Center for Financial Policy, Department of Public Finance,</p><p>Moscow</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">AKKaraev@fa.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1671-8255</contrib-id><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Макашина</surname><given-names>О. В.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Makashina</surname><given-names>O. V.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>доктор экономических наук, профессор, профессор Департаментаобщественных финансов,</p><p>Москва</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Dr. Sci. (Econ.), Professor, Department of Public Finance,</p><p>Moscow</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">OVMakashina@fa.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5531-1047</contrib-id><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Мастеров</surname><given-names>А. И.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Masterov</surname><given-names>A. I.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>кандидат экономических наук, ведущий научный сотрудник Центра финансовой политики Департамента общественных финансов,</p><p>Москва</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Cand. Sci. (Econ.), leading researcher, Center for Financial Policy, Department of Public Finance,</p><p>Moscow</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">AIMasterov@fa.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7706-5011</contrib-id><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Понкратов</surname><given-names>В. В.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Ponkratov</surname><given-names>V. V.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>кандидат экономических наук, директор Центра финансовойполитики Департамента общественных финансов,</p><p>Москва</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Cand. Sci. (Econ.), Director, Center for Financial Policy, Department of Public Finance,</p><p>Moscow</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">VPonkratov@fa.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2625-7595</contrib-id><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Седова</surname><given-names>М. Л.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Sedova</surname><given-names>M. L.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>кандидат экономических наук, доцент, профессор Департамента общественных финансов,</p><p>Москва</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Cand. Sci. (Econ.), Associate Professor, Professor at the Department of Public Finance,</p><p>Moscow</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">MSedova@fa.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9130-8403</contrib-id><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Тюрина</surname><given-names>Ю. Г.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Tyurina</surname><given-names>Yu. G.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>доктор экономических наук, доцент, профессор Департаментаобщественных финансов,</p><p>Москва</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Dr. Sci. (Econ.), Associate Professor, Professor at the Department of Public Finance,</p><p>Moscow</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">YGTyurina@fa.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5143-9417</contrib-id><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Фрумина</surname><given-names>С. В.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Frumina</surname><given-names>S. V.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>кандидат экономических наук, доцент, доцент Департаментаобщественных финансов,</p><p>Москва</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Cand. Sci. (Econ.), Associate Professor, Associate Professor at the Department of Public Finance, </p><p>Moscow</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">SVFrumina@fa.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib></contrib-group><aff-alternatives id="aff-1"><aff xml:lang="ru"><institution>Финансовый университет</institution><country>Россия</country></aff><aff xml:lang="en"><institution>Financial University</institution><country>Russian Federation</country></aff></aff-alternatives><pub-date pub-type="collection"><year>2018</year></pub-date><pub-date pub-type="epub"><day>13</day><month>11</month><year>2018</year></pub-date><volume>0</volume><issue>0</issue><issue-title>Спецвыпуск, ноябрь</issue-title><fpage>4</fpage><lpage>41</lpage><permissions><copyright-statement>Copyright &amp;#x00A9; Солянникова С.П., Аландаров Р.А., Горлова О.С., Караев А.К., Макашина О.В., Мастеров А.И., Понкратов В.В., Седова М.Л., Тюрина Ю.Г., Фрумина С.В., 2018</copyright-statement><copyright-year>2018</copyright-year><copyright-holder xml:lang="ru">Солянникова С.П., Аландаров Р.А., Горлова О.С., Караев А.К., Макашина О.В., Мастеров А.И., Понкратов В.В., Седова М.Л., Тюрина Ю.Г., Фрумина С.В.</copyright-holder><copyright-holder xml:lang="en">Solyannikova S.P., Alandarov R.A., Gorlova O.S., Karaev A.K., Makashina O.V., Masterov A.I., Ponkratov V.V., Sedova M.L., Tyurina Y.G., Frumina S.V.</copyright-holder><license xml:lang="ru" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>Данная работа распространяется под лицензией Creative Commons Attribution 4.0.</license-p></license><license xml:lang="en" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.</license-p></license></permissions><self-uri xlink:href="https://financetp.fa.ru/jour/article/view/748">https://financetp.fa.ru/jour/article/view/748</self-uri><abstract><p>Представлены результаты оценки основных положений проекта федерального бюджета с точки зрения их соответствия как требованиям бюджетного законодательства, так и документам стратегического планирования социальноэкономического развития России. При этом сделан вывод о том, что переход к сбалансированному бюджету и активное накопление средств в Фонде национального благосостояния, наряду со снижением зависимости федерального бюджета от колебаний нефтяных цен на мировых рынках, будут способствовать повышению макроэкономической стабильности. Однако переход к сбалансированному бюджету происходит, в том числе, за счет отказа от налогового и бюджетного стимулирования экономики. Выявлены системные проблемы и риски федерального бюджета на средне- и долгосрочную перспективу. Дана оценка проблем реализации основных положений Указа Президента Российской Федерации от 07.05.2018 № 204 в рамках представленной концепции бюджета и бюджетной политики.</p></abstract><trans-abstract xml:lang="en"><p>The authors present the results of the evaluation of the main provisions of the draft Federal budget regarding their compliance with the requirements of the budget legislation, and the documents of strategic planning of socio-economic development of Russia. At the same time, we concluded that the transition to a balanced budget and active accumulation of funds in the National Welfare Fund, along with a decrease in the dependence of the Federal budget on fluctuations in oil prices in world markets, will contribute to macroeconomic stability. However, the transition to a balanced budget is also due to the rejection of tax and budget incentives for the economy. We identified systemic problems and risks of the Federal budget for the medium and long-term. The authors also assessed the problems of implementation of the main provisions of the Decree of the President of the Russian Federation on May 7, 2018, No. 204 in the framework of the presented budget concept and budget policy.</p></trans-abstract><kwd-group xml:lang="ru"><kwd>проект федерального бюджета</kwd><kwd>стратегическое планирование</kwd><kwd>социально-экономическое развитие России</kwd><kwd>сбалансированный бюджет</kwd><kwd>риски федерального бюджета</kwd><kwd>бюджетная политика</kwd></kwd-group></article-meta></front><back><ref-list><title>References</title></ref-list><fn-group><fn fn-type="conflict"><p>The authors declare that there are no conflicts of interest present.</p></fn></fn-group></back></article>
