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<article article-type="research-article" dtd-version="1.3" xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance" xml:lang="ru"><front><journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">finance</journal-id><journal-title-group><journal-title xml:lang="ru">Финансы: теория и практика/Finance: Theory and Practice</journal-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>Finance: Theory and Practice</trans-title></trans-title-group></journal-title-group><issn pub-type="ppub">2587-5671</issn><issn pub-type="epub">2587-7089</issn><publisher><publisher-name>Financial University under The Government of Russian Federation</publisher-name></publisher></journal-meta><article-meta><article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.26794/2587-5671-2020-24-2-92-103</article-id><article-id custom-type="elpub" pub-id-type="custom">finance-985</article-id><article-categories><subj-group subj-group-type="heading"><subject>Research Article</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="ru"><subject>ФИНАНСОВАЯ ПОЛИТИКА</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="en"><subject>FINANCIAL POLICY</subject></subj-group></article-categories><title-group><article-title>Влияние политики валютного регулирования на экспортный потенциал экономики страны (на примере Армении)</article-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>The Impact of Currency Regulation Policy on the Country’s Export Potential: The Case of Armenia</trans-title></trans-title-group></title-group><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2848-4946</contrib-id><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Сандоян</surname><given-names>Э. М.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Sandoyan</surname><given-names>E. M.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>Эдвард Мартинович Сандоян — доктор экономических наук, профессор, директор Института экономики и бизнеса</p><p>Ереван</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Edvard M. Sandoyan — Dr. Sci. (Econ.), Prof., Director, Institute of Economics and Business</p><p>Yerevan</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">edward.sandoyan@rau.am</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7800-7232</contrib-id><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Галстян</surname><given-names>А. Г.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Galstyan</surname><given-names>A. G.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>Ани Гамлетовна Галстян — аспирант кафедры экономики и финансов</p><p>Ереван</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Ani G. Galstyan — Postgraduate student, Department of Economics and Finance</p><p>Yerevan</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">ani.galstyan@rau.am</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib></contrib-group><aff-alternatives id="aff-1"><aff xml:lang="ru"><institution>Российско-Армянский университет</institution><country>Армения</country></aff><aff xml:lang="en"><institution>Russian-Armenian (Slavonic) University</institution><country>Armenia</country></aff></aff-alternatives><pub-date pub-type="collection"><year>2020</year></pub-date><pub-date pub-type="epub"><day>24</day><month>04</month><year>2020</year></pub-date><volume>24</volume><issue>2</issue><fpage>92</fpage><lpage>103</lpage><permissions><copyright-statement>Copyright &amp;#x00A9; Сандоян Э.М., Галстян А.Г., 2020</copyright-statement><copyright-year>2020</copyright-year><copyright-holder xml:lang="ru">Сандоян Э.М., Галстян А.Г.</copyright-holder><copyright-holder xml:lang="en">Sandoyan E.M., Galstyan A.G.</copyright-holder><license xml:lang="ru" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>Данная работа распространяется под лицензией Creative Commons Attribution 4.0.</license-p></license><license xml:lang="en" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.</license-p></license></permissions><self-uri xlink:href="https://financetp.fa.ru/jour/article/view/985">https://financetp.fa.ru/jour/article/view/985</self-uri><abstract><p>Проблема влияния политики валютного регулирования на экспортный потенциал экономики страны является предметом научных исследований и дискуссий среди экономистов на протяжении многих лет. Выбор режима валютного регулирования является одним из системообразующих элементов поддержания конкурентоспособности экономики страны, макроэкономической стабильности и стимулирования экономического роста. Цель исследования — анализ воздействия обменного курса армянской национальной валюты (драма) на экспортный потенциал экономики страны, а также выбор политики валютного регулирования, стимулирующего расширение экспорта и экономический рост в Армении. Использованы методы статистического и сравнительного анализа, а также построения логистических предположений. Авторами проведен статистический анализ динамики и структуры экспорта Армении по товарным группам и странам. Было выявлено, что за исключением экспорта в Россию, структура экспорта Армении в остальные страны характеризуется высоким удельным весом сырьевых продуктов. Как известно, обменный курс имеет наибольшее влияние на ценовую конкурентоспособность готовой продукции на внешних рынках. Авторами оценено влияние реализуемой в Армении политики валютного регулирования на экспортный потенциал и конкурентоспособность армянских товаров, особенно на рынках стран ЕАЭС. В результате исследования авторы пришли к выводу, что Армении не удается максимально использовать свои экспортные возможности из-за неконкурентоспособного обменного курса национальной валюты. Ключевым выводом исследования является тезис о том, что Армении необходимо отказаться от нерыночных механизмов обеспечения стабильности обменного курса, центральному банку следует незамедлительно перейти к политике свободно плавающего курса национальной валюты и невмешательства, что позволит значительно расширить присутствие армянской готовой продукции на внешних рынках, особенно в Российской Федерации.</p></abstract><trans-abstract xml:lang="en"><p>The impact of currency regulation on the country’s export potential has been the focus of scientific research and discussion among economists for years. Currency regulation is a backbone element to maintain the competitiveness of the country’s economy, macroeconomic stability, and to stimulate economic growth. The aim of this research is to analyse the impact of the exchange rate of the Armenian national currency (dram) on the country’s export potential, as well as the choice of a currency regulation policy stimulating export expansion and economic growth in Armenia. The study employed the methods of statistical and comparative analysis, as well as the construction of logistic assumptions. The authors conducted a statistical analysis of the dynamics and structure of Armenia’s exports by product groups and countries. They revealed that, with the exception of exports to Russia, Armenia’s exports to other countries has a high ratio of raw materials. As known, the exchange rate has the greatest impact on the price competitiveness of finished products in foreign markets. The authors evaluated the impact of currency regulation policy implemented in Armenia on the export potential and competitiveness of Armenian goods, especially in the EAEU markets. The results show that Armenia is not able to maximize its export opportunities due to the uncompetitive exchange rate of the national currency. The key conclusion of the research is the thesis that Armenia should abandon the non-market mechanisms for ensuring exchange rate stability, the Central Bank should immediately shift to a policy of free-floating national currency and non-intervention, which will significantly expand the presence of Armenian finished products in foreign markets, especially in the Russian Federation.</p></trans-abstract><kwd-group xml:lang="ru"><kwd>экспортный потенциал</kwd><kwd>политика валютного регулирования</kwd><kwd>обменный курс</kwd><kwd>экономический рост</kwd></kwd-group><kwd-group xml:lang="en"><kwd>export potential</kwd><kwd>currency regulation policy</kwd><kwd>exchange rate</kwd><kwd>economic growth</kwd></kwd-group><funding-group><funding-statement xml:lang="ru">Эта работа проводилась за счет средств, выделенных в рамках субсидии Министерства образования и науки Российской Федерации на финансирование исследований в Российско-Армянском университете. Российско-Армянский университет, Ереван, Армения.</funding-statement><funding-statement xml:lang="en">This work was funded by the research subsidy by the Ministry of Education and Science of the Russian Federation at the Russian-Armenian University. Russian-Armenian University, Yerevan, Armenia.</funding-statement></funding-group></article-meta></front><back><ref-list><title>References</title><ref id="cit1"><label>1</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Conrad D., Jagessar J. Real exchange rate misalignment and economic growth: The case of Trinidad and Tobago. Economies. 2018;6(52):1–23. DOI: 10.3390/economies6040052</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Conrad D., Jagessar J. Real exchange rate misalignment and economic growth: The case of Trinidad and Tobago. Economies. 2018;6(52):1–23. 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