Preview

Finance: Theory and Practice

Advanced search

Market Reaction to COVID-19 and Policy Response Across Different Sectors: An Event Study on ASEAN Stock Market

https://doi.org/10.26794/2587-5671-2024-28-1-30-42

Abstract

The purpose of the study is to investigate the market reaction to COVID-19 and the policy response in the ASEAN stock market. The subjects of this study are companies located in ASEAN countries (Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, the Philippines, and Vietnam) as many as 2349 companies. The basic methodology of this research uses the event study method using CAR (Cumulative Abnormal Return) as a measure of market reaction. We also regressed the effect of firm characteristics (SIZE, ROA, LEV, CASH, AGE) on market reaction. According to the paper’s results, the ASEAN stock market reacted negatively to the announcement of COVID-19 cases and deaths. In this condition, the markets in Malaysia, the Philippines, and Vietnam had the worst reactions to the pandemic outbreak. Moreover, the market negatively reacted to the policy response emphasizing the spread of this disease. We also find that several sectors also provided a negative reaction to COVID-19 and the policy response in the ASEAN stock market. In addition, the company’s characteristics significantly influenced the encouragement of market reactions to the pandemic and regulations. Practical implications were provided for policymakers regarding the need to consider market conditions in interventions in the spread of the health crisis. Investors should also consider the characteristics involved in handling the COVID-19 pandemic.

About the Authors

D. Lesmana
Research and Development Agency
Indonesia

Dadang Lesmana — Researcher

East Kutai



R. Yudaruddin
Mulawarman University
Russian Federation

Rizky Yudaruddin — Lecturer, Faculty of Economics and Business

Samarinda



References

1. Ashraf B.N. Stock markets’ reaction to COVID 19: Cases or fatalities? Research in International Business and Finance. 2020;54:101249. DOI: 10.1016/j.ribaf.2020.101249

2. Pandey D.K., Kumari V. Do dividend announcements override the pandemic impacts? Evidence from the BSE 500 constituent firms. Asia Pacific Management Review. 2022;27(3);210–219. DOI: 10.1016/j.apmrv.2021.09.002

3. Heyden K.J., Heyden T. Market reactions to the arrival and containment of COVID 19: An event study. Finance Research Letters. 2021;38:101745. DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2020.101745

4. Yong H.H.A., Laing E. Stock market reaction to COVID 19: Evidence from U.S. firms’ international exposure. International Review of Financial Analysis. 2021;76:101656. DOI: 10.1016/j.irfa.2020.101656

5. Deng T., Xu T., Lee Y.J. Policy responses to COVID 19 and stock market reactions — An international evidence. Journal of Economics and Business. 2022;119:106043. DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconbus.2021.106043

6. Ashraf B.N. Stock markets’ reaction to COVID 19: Moderating role of national culture. Finance Research Letters. 2021;41:101857. DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2020.101857

7. Scherf M., Matschke X., Rieger M.O. Stock market reactions to COVID 19 lockdown: A global analysis. Finance Research Letters. 2022;45:102245. DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2021.102245

8. Zhang D., Hu M., Ji Q. Financial markets under the global pandemic of COVID 19. Finance Research Letters. 2020;36:101528. DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2020.101528

9. Klose J., Tillmann P. COVID 19 and financial markets: A panel analysis for European countries. Jahrbücher für Nationalökonomie und Statistik. 2021;241(3);297–347. DOI: 10.1515/jbnst-2020–0063

10. Shanaev S., Shuraeva A., Ghimire B. The financial pandemic: COVID 19 and policy interventions on rational and irrational markets. SSRN Electronic Journal. 2020. DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3589557

11. Zhao L., Rasoulinezhad E., Sarker T., Taghizadeh-Hesary F. Effects of COVID 19 on global financial markets: Evidence from qualitative research for developed and developing economies. The European Journal of Development Research. 2023;35(1):148–166. DOI: 10.1057/s41287–021–00494-x

12. Xiong H., Wu Z., Hou F., Zhang J. Which firm-specific characteristics affect the market reaction of Chinese listed companies to the COVID 19 pandemic? Emerging Markets Finance and Trade. 2020;56(10):2231–2242. DOI: 10.1080/1540496X.2020.1787151

13. He P., Sun Y., Zhang Y., Li T. COVID 19’s impact on stock prices across different sectors — an event study based on the Chinese stock market. Emerging Markets Finance and Trade. 2020;56(10);2198–2212. DOI: 10.1080/1540496X.2020.1785865

14. Huang W., Lan C., Xu Y., Zhang Z., Zeng H. Does COVID 19 matter for systemic financial risks? Evidence from China’s financial and real estate sectors. Pacific-Basin Finance Journal. 2022;74:101819. DOI: 10.1016/j.pacfin.2022.101819

15. Matthews R., Rutherford B.N., Edmonson D., Matthews L. Uncertainty in industrial markets: The COVID 19 pandemic. Industrial Marketing Management. 2022;102:364–376. DOI: 10.1016/j.indmarman.2022.02.006

16. Dong Z., Li Y., Zhuang X., Wang J. Impacts of COVID 19 on global stock sectors: Evidence from timevarying connectedness and asymmetric nexus analysis. The North American Journal of Economics and Finance. 2022;62:101753. DOI: 10.1016/j.najef.2022.101753

17. Müller T., Schulten T., Drahokoupil J. Job retention schemes in Europe during the COVID 19 pandemic — different shapes and sizes and the role of collective bargaining. Transfer: European Review of Labour and Research. 2022;28(2):247–265. DOI: 10.1177/10242589221089808

18. Yudaruddin R., Fitriansyah, Lesmana L., Bintoro R.F.A., Purnomo A.H., Nugroho B.A., Santi E.N. Does invasion Russia-Ukraine affect to global financial market? Evidence from consumers’ staples sectors. Journal of Open Innovation: Technology, Market, and Complexity. 2023;9(3):100086. DOI: 10.1016/j.joitmc.2023.100086

19. Lesmana D., Yudaruddin R. The impact of the Russia-Ukraine invasion on market reaction across various industries: An event study on the ASEAN market. Afro-Asian Journal of Finance and Accounting. DOI: 10.1504/AAJFA.2023.10057770

20. Yudaruddin R., Lesmana D. Banking sector’s reaction during the Russian invasion of Ukraine: Who reacted the most? Journal of Economic Studies. 2023. DOI: 10.1108/JES-04–2023–0206

21. Basnet A., Blomkvist M., Galariotis E. The role of ESG in the decision to stay or leave the market of an invading country: The case of Russia. Economics Letters. 2022;216:110636. DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2022.110636

22. Tosun O.K., Eshraghi A. Corporate decisions in times of war: Evidence from the Russia-Ukraine conflict. Finance Research Letters. 2022;48:102920. DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2022.102920

23. Choudhry T. World War II events and the Dow Jones industrial index. Journal of Banking and Finance. 2010;34(5):1022–1031. DOI: 10.1016/j.jbankfin.2009.11.004

24. Hudson R., Urquhart A. War and stock markets: The effect of World War Two on the British stock market. International Review of Financial Analysis. 2015;40:166–177. DOI: 10.1016/j.irfa.2015.05.015

25. Schneider G., Troeger V.E. War and the world economy: Stock market reactions to international conflicts. The Journal of Conflict Resolution. 2006;50(5):623–645. DOI: 10.1177/0022002706290430

26. Tampakoudis I., Noulas A., Kiosses N. The market reaction to syndicated loan announcements before and during the COVID 19 pandemic and the role of corporate governance. Research in International Business and Finance. 2022;60:101602. DOI: 10.1016/j.ribaf.2021.101602

27. Ittonen K. Market reactions to qualified audit reports: Research approaches. Accounting Research Journal. 2012;25(1):8–24. DOI: 10.1108/10309611211244483

28. Nerger G. L., Huynh T. L.D., Wang M. Which industries benefited from Trump environmental policy news? Evidence from industrial stock market reactions. Research in International Business and Finance. 2021;57:101418. DOI: 10.1016/j.ribaf.2021.101418

29. Law C., Cornelsen L., Adams J., Penney T., Rutter H., White M., Smith R. An analysis of the stock market reaction to the announcements of the UK Soft Drinks Industry Levy. Economics and Human Biology. 2020;38:100834. DOI: 10.1016/j.ehb.2019.100834

30. Yi Y., Zhang Z., Yan Y. Kindness is rewarded! The impact of corporate social responsibility on Chinese market reactions to the COVID 19 pandemic. Economics Letters. 2021;208:110066. DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2021.110066

31. Aalbers R. H.L., McCarthy K.J., Heimeriks K. H. Market reactions to acquisition announcements: The importance of signaling ‘why’ and ‘where’. Long Range Planning. 2021;54(6):102105. DOI: 10.1016/j.lrp.2021.102105

32. Schell D., Wang M., Huynh L.D. This time is indeed different: A study on global market reactions to public health crisis. Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance. 2020;27:100349. DOI: 10.1016/j.jbef.2020.100349

33. Zaremba A., Kizys R., Aharon D.Y., Demir E. Infected markets: Novel coronavirus, government interventions, and stock return volatility around the globe. Finance Research Letters. 2020;35:101597. DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2020.101597

34. Kumar S. New evidence on stock market reaction to dividend announcements in India. Research in International Business and Finance. 2017;39(Pt.A):327–337. DOI: 10.1016/j.ribaf.2016.09.009

35. Irwansyah, Rinaldi M., Yusuf A. M., Ramadhani M. H.Z.K., Sudirman S.R., Yudaruddin R. The effect of COVID 19 on consumer goods sector performance: The role of firm characteristics. Journal of Risk and Financial Management. 2023;16(11):483. DOI: 10.3390/jrfm16110483

36. Tetteh J.E., Amoah A., Ofori-Boateng K., Hughes G. Stock market response to COVID 19 pandemic: A comparative evidence from two emerging markets. Scientific African. 2022;17: e01300. DOI:10.1016/j.sciaf.2022.e01300


Review

For citations:


Lesmana D., Yudaruddin R. Market Reaction to COVID-19 and Policy Response Across Different Sectors: An Event Study on ASEAN Stock Market. Finance: Theory and Practice. 2024;28(1):30-42. https://doi.org/10.26794/2587-5671-2024-28-1-30-42

Views: 486


Creative Commons License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.


ISSN 2587-5671 (Print)
ISSN 2587-7089 (Online)