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Foreign Exchange Reserves and Economic Growth of Brazil: A Nonlinear Approach

https://doi.org/10.26794/2587-5671-2024-28-1-145-154

Abstract

The research aims to look at the linear and nonlinear causal relationships between Brazil’s accumulated international reserves and economic growth from 1989 Q1 through 2021 Q4. For empirical investigation, this study employed econometric procedures such as the Augmented Dickey Fuller and Zivot-Andrews unit root tests, the linear Granger causality test, Johansen’s cointegration test, the BDS test, and the nonlinear Granger causality test proposed by Hiemstra and Jones. The study concluded that there is a bidirectional linear and non-linear causality between foreign exchange reserve and economic growth. This study fills the gap in the literature by exploring the nonlinear relationship between international reserves and economic growth, while earlier studies primarily explored linear relationships. Foreign trade policymakers can utilize the model developed here to formulate applicable policies about foreign exchange reserves. Based on the findings, the study proposes that Brazil can accrue foreign reserves if surplus assets are invested in alternate sources such as economic infrastructure projects and regional infrastructure development.

About the Authors

M. Kashif
Graphic Era Deemed to be University
India

Mohammad Kashif PhD, Assist. Prof., Department of Management studies

Dehradun



N. Singhal
IIMT University
India

Nikita Singhal PhD, Associate Prof., School of Commerce and Management

Meerut



S. Goyal
Amity University
India

Shikha Goyal — PhD, Assist. Prof, Amity Law School

Noida



S. K. Singh
IIMT University
India

Satish Kumar Singh PhD, Professor & Dean, School of Commerce and Management

Meerut



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For citations:


Kashif M., Singhal N., Goyal S., Singh S.K. Foreign Exchange Reserves and Economic Growth of Brazil: A Nonlinear Approach. Finance: Theory and Practice. 2024;28(1):145-154. https://doi.org/10.26794/2587-5671-2024-28-1-145-154

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