Демонетизация: эмпирическое исследование факторов, влияющих на успех демонетизации

Демонетизация —  это изъятие из обращения национальной валюты. Этот метод используется во всем мире для контроля инфляции, ограничения ликвидности и борьбы с накоплением средств. На успех или провал демонетизации влияют различные экономические и финансовые факторы. Среди них —  деноминация валюты, соотношение демонетизируемой валюты к текущей валюте в обращении и соотношение к ВВП на душу населения. Цель исследования —  определить ключевые факторы, влияющие на демонетизацию. Анализ основан на примере Индии 2016 г. и дополнен обзором литературы. Изучены десять факторов, влияющих на процесс, и установлена их взаимосвязь с успешностью демонетизации с помощью статистического анализа методом порядковой логистической регрессии на языке Python. Выявлены экономические показатели, которые могут помочь странам проводить демонетизацию без общественного хаоса. Также выведено уравнение для оценки успешности демонетизации. В статье рекомендуется тщательно готовиться к этому процессу, грамотно планировать и проводить его.

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