FINANCIAL MONITORING
The task analysis of the Federal Financial Monitoring Service has revealed that the money laundering risk assessment process is greatly limited by insufficient resources. The aim of the study is to increase the efficiency of decision-making processes by using visualization of financial monitoring data. The methodological basis of the study suggests to rank objects in order to map financial monitoring data. However, the objects of financial monitoring, such as business entities, professional securities market participants, have sets of characteristics, i.e. are of vector nature. As known, there is no mathematical definition of ordinal relations for vectors. The author used the method of principal component to estimate a scalar value of financial monitoring. The article provides a subject area modeling of financial monitoring, and the author used mathematical and methodological tools to map deviant objects of financial monitoring. The result of the study presents the geographical infographics of the money laundering process. The author refers to socio-economic regional maps obtained from various official sources (arbitration case files, the Unified State Register of Legal Entities, the crime rate in Russia from the Ministry of Internal Affairs). The maps include information about the business activity of the federal districts, regions with a propensity for illegal and legal financial activities, crime rate. The author concludes that the results of the study may serve as a powerful tool to support the strategic decision-making process and microanalysis of financial monitoring.
DIGITAL FINANCIAL ASSETS
The article explores modern trends in the development of digital money. The purpose of the article is to identify and analyze the risks of digital money, and to study scientific approaches and tools for managing these risks. The authors use general scientific and special research methods, including comparative legal analysis and a systematization method, as well as methods of economic theory: positive analysis and scientific abstraction. The research highlights the strategic challenges and guidelines in the development of digital money in the Russian Federation and shows the difference and common features of digital and electronic money. Based on a comparative analysis of private and national digital money, we conclude that the digital money of Central Banks is more flexible and more reliable for consumers than private cryptocurrencies. We systematize the risks of digital money circulation at the micro, mezzo and macro levels, as well as identify the essential tools for managing them. The authors note that exogenous risk management tools are more typical for private cryptocurrencies, and endogenous tools will apply to digital money of central banks, in particular, the development of an appropriate configuration of Central Bank digital currency. The study may be useful for digital money users, as well as government agencies implementing policies and regulations on the issue and circulation of digital money in Russia.
INSURANCE
The article highlights the influence of the equity factor in the insurance industry on the example of the age and driving experience coefficient development in the motor third-party liability insurance (MTPL). The aim of the research is to study risk level variation in the car insurance industry depending on the age and experience of a driver. The authors consider the Automated Information System (AIS) data of MTPL as a methodological basis of the article. The results show that the risk level depends on each of the parameters, in particular, risk levels for older drivers are lower by comparison with younger drivers with the same level of driving experience. On this basis, the authors design a two-dimensional table to assess risk levels where the risk level between separate cells differ in five times. The study presents and analyses the actuarial calculations which served as a foundation for the MTPL policy change in 2018* 1. The article provides recommendations on improving MTPL tariffing within the modern model framework and motor tariff liberalization. The study allowed the authors to verify theoretical assumptions and find direct mathematical relations between the age and experience coefficient and its constituent data. The authors concluded that it is reasonable to introduce additional categories of drivers taking into consideration demographic changes and retirement age increase. The results of the research may improve MTPL affordability and have practical utility for motor insurers in transition to individual tariffs. They also can help to address discussions and approaches to estimate a coefficient of age and experience (CAE) set by Article 9 of the Federal law of 25.04.2002 No. 40-FZ “About obligatory insurance of civil liability of owners of vehicles”.
INTERNATIONAL FINANCE
Amid the Kondratiev cycle's downward slope movement and global pandemic, a recession in many countries is Likely to Lead to a deep long-term economic crisis. The aim of the article is to study the simplest recession indicators in developing and developed countries, economic-recovery measures, and economic development scenarios. The objectives of the paper are to study current economic situations in different countries, including Russia; identify measures to prevent a recession in developing and developed countries; evaluate possible economic development scenarios with regard to the cyclical dynamics in the current climate. The authors used methods of analysis, modelling, monitoring of major economic indicators based on the data of past recessions and other crises. The results of the research show different scenarios of economic growth depending on the number of Covid-19 cases and the effectiveness of government’s responses to the pandemic; a correlation between monetary and fiscal policies in overcoming crisis; monetary policy priorities necessary for economic recovery; problems and prospects of monetary and fiscal policy implementation. The authors concluded that GDP, unemployment, and inflation rate are key indicators for the evaluation of the current and future money, credit, and production-related events. Proactive measures ensure a smoother average economic growth. Both monetary and fiscal policy have advantages and disadvantages. Proactive measures, in particular, inevitably cause two time lags: in the reaction to a recession and in the effectiveness of implemented measures. The governments and central banks must be proactive in overcoming the economic recession and providing support to the citizens.
Attracting investment is a relevant issue for any economy. The aim of the research is to study the factors affecting the inflow of foreign direct investment (FDI) by the example of countries leading in attracting FDI and countries of the Eurasian Economic Union (EAEU). The author uses both qualitative and quantitative methods to analyze research data of other authors, reports of international organizations and the World Bank database. The author did econometric calculations using the application package Stata 14. A linear regression model using the least-squares method was built. The author selected several factors that presumably affect FDI inflows to the EAEU countries. The calculations were based on the combined panel data analysis model used in the BRICS and MINT countries, which allowed the author to calculate the degree of influence and significance of a number of variables of FDI inflows. The study shows that political stability is more important than the inflation rate, the volume of foreign trade and final consumption expenditure. The author concluded that poor institutional development hinders investment. In particular, the negative institutional factors are non-transparent regulation policy, the dominance of public property and the lack of proper investment protection system, low degree of rule of law and limitation of economic rights. Further study of issues related to attracting FDI should consider the trends of mass digitization since the introduction and implementation of digital technology are becoming an integral part of the competitiveness of the modern economy.
MONETARY & CREDIT POLICY
The article highlights the use of macroprudential instruments by the Bank of Russia that regulate the population Lending of the Russian banking sector. The purpose of the work is to study the theoretical background and practical results of using indicators of the total cost of credit and the debt load of the population to ensure stability of the banking sector. The authors used methods of qualitative and quantitative analysis of scientific publications, regulatory sources, retrospective statistics. The study showed that initially, the regulator introduces new macroprudential instruments as recommended, and subsequently transfers them to mandatory. The regulatory mechanism is based on the ratio dependence of the bank capital adequacy on the actual values of the total loan cost and debt load of the borrower - individual. The mortgage debt to collateral value ratio supports the housing mortgage lending regulation process. The authors concluded that the banking sector’s reaction to the introduction of the total credit cost indicator is more prominent than the introduction of the debt burden indicator. When the Bank of Russia obliged to take into account the full cost of the loan when measuring capital adequacy, banks were not able to increase capital; they reduced high-risk lending. The practice of macroprudential regulation of credit risks in the banking sector is complemented by the introduction of credit holidays for borrowers - individuals, who are struggling because of the pandemic. The obtained theoretical and practical results can be used in the development of the financial stability regulation practice in Russia, at the micro-level - when designing and changing credit policy.
FINANCIAL SYSTEM
Resource and financial support for economic growth is the most important economic task that requires an instant solution. A study of nature, institutional structure, efficiency and sustainability of the savings system in Russia may contribute to this solution and is defined as the subject of this research. The aim of the article is to test the methodology for the sustainability assessment of the savings system in Russia. The methods of system analysis and mathematical statistics represent the methodological basis of the research. The fundamental nature and consistent development of savings relations and processes for the economy provided the starting point of the study The authors consider national savings as an investment resource, which is formed through the institutional structure of the national savings system and the instrumental environment, and their sufficiency ensures stable economic growth of the country. The central point of the research within the framework of the article is the analysis of the intermediary function of the savings system, which optimizes the main parameters of the savings market - the demand for savings resources and their supply, and well as their financial stability assessment The main result of the study provides further development of the previous approach to understanding the essence of the system of national savings (NSS) and its sustainability assessment, in terms of the economic security of the country as well. In addition, the authors attempted to assess the stability limits of the national savings system using mathematical statistics tools. The subject area of the article and the results of the study provide new knowledge about the nature, conditions and sustainability assessments of national savings systems and significantly contribute to the scientific discussion of the current and future trends of the world economy development and economic growth supported by finances and resources.
TAX POlICY
The relevance of the research topic is due to the role of tax policy and the impact of external and internal longterm factors affecting the slowdown of the Russian economy. The aim of the study is to justify measures to reduce the tax burden on manufacturers concentrated on the domestic market. The authors used methods of statistical analysis, economic statistics, including the calculations of implicit tax rates, and the tax burden sensitivity in relation to GDP dynamics. The research results show that an increase in the tax burden on labor and consumption, as well as the existing correlation between the tax burden on capital and labor, hinders investments in the modernization of production and innovation, and disrupts economic growth and socio-economic development in Russia. The measures introduced by the government to overcome the consequences of the pandemic do not help to reduce the tax burden in a short-term and long-term perspective. The authors conclude that it is necessary to reduce the tax burden on domestic producers concentrated on the domestic market by introducing a special taxpayer status.
CORPORATE FINANCE
This article considers the financial monitoring of football clubs under UEFA Financial Fair Play (FFP) regulations. The aim of the paper is to study the current system for assessing the financial stability of football clubs and propose measures for its practical application. The work is relevant due to a wide range of financial challenges in modern football and supported by a detailed analysis of a recent case of Manchester City football club accused of breaching FFP. Studying the main allegations against the club, the author analyzed the basic concepts of FFP, breaches of other clubs and sanctions imposed on them, with emphasis on the experience of Russian clubs. The analysis illustrated the role of UEFA and football clubs with regards to FFP implementation, considering a specific case. The author estimated the potential Losses of Manchester City due to the Champions League ban, and, in addition, the total losses due to the English Premier League suspension amid coronavirus threat. Using FFP criteria, the author analyzed the financial stability of Manchester City and Russian football club CSKA Moscow and identified similar problems for the clubs. The author outlined recommendations for UEFA rules compliance and presented a system of indicators that help to regularly monitor and manage the longterm financial stability of football clubs. The findings of the paper may find application in the field of other team sports.
PUBLICATIONS OF YOUNG SCIENTISTS
The present paper aims to study the nature of taxation principles in Russia and analyze how they are structured and outlined in the legislation. The research is based on general scientific research methods, such as the comparative method and the method of system analysis. The study provides a comparative analysis of the views of Russian and foreign scientists regarding the system of taxation principles and the provisions of the current legislation in the field of taxes. The results of the paper offer that a significant amount of research has been devoted to the problem of the essential reflection of taxation principles but it has not been sufficiently developed and updated. The author argues the need to consolidate the principles of taxation in the current legislation by introducing a special chapter in the Tax Code of the Russian Federation, justifies the need for a fair formation of a system of taxation principles in theoretical and practical aspects. The types and structure of taxation principles in the modern world are proposed. A special chapter has been developed, which the author suggests introducing into the Tax Code of the Russian Federation. The author concluded that in order to reflect the basic principles of taxation in the current tax legislation, it is necessary to introduce the proposed changes.
ISSN 2587-7089 (Online)