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Finance: Theory and Practice

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Vol 27, No 4 (2023)
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DIGITAL FINANCIAL ASSETS

6-16 730
Abstract

The rapid nature of the modernization of monetary turnover, accompanied by geopolitical risks against the background of post-pandemic economic recovery and the regionalization process, no longer just arouses the discursive interest of society, but becomes an indispensable condition of the new reality. The process of money turnover transformation by introducing digital currencies into circulation in the wave of digitalization among world powers lagging behind the evolving environment of the cryptocurrency industry is developing into a process of formalization of metaverses and penetrates deeper into the socio-economic reality. The problem of the Russian practice of developing the payment environment consists in its catching-up character, caused by the spontaneous formation of the digital society, resulting in the expansion of the scope of alternative finance outside the legal field. The purpose of the paper is to determine the inherent attributes of the digital trusted environment necessary to ensure digital ruble turnover, based on an empirical study of society’s perceptions about the prospects for using the digital form of the national monetary unit by representatives of various generations. We used systematization, grouping, comparative and content analysis, surveys, and the quota method to achieve the paper’s purpose. The survey involved 35,327 residents from different regions. As a result, the authors revealed the low level of readiness of society for the introduction of the digital ruble as a substitute for cash and cryptocurrency. The paper focuses on the need for an integrated approach to the disclosure of the digital ruble’s value and benefits, which contributes to its successful launch and promotion in the market. The results of the research highlight the importance of correspondence in the digital ruble category “digital currencies”, and also the impossibility of making incorrect decisions in the transformation of money turnover, which leads to the growth of risks of digital inequality, the clash of interests of certain groups of the population in the prevailing behavioral patterns in the form of a cautious attitude to digital finance with insufficient financial literacy.

ECONOMICS OF SOCIAL SPHERE

17-29 493
Abstract

The subject of the research is the formation of pension savings on compulsory pension insurance by public and private pension insurers. The paper’s relevance comes from the lack of a conclusive solution in contemporary research to the dilemma of selecting between maintaining competition in the pension market and centralizing pension savings. The purpose of the research is to assess the effectiveness of the formation of pension savings for mandatory pension insurance in private pension funds in comparison with the Pension Fund of Russia, both from the point of view of the interests of insured persons and society as a whole. Research methods include comparative analysis and logical generalization, economic-mathematical and statistical methods, methods of financial mathematics. The information base of the study is data from the official websites of the Pension Fund of Russia, the Central Bank of Russia, the Federal State Statistics Service, the Deposit Insurance Agency, the Moscow Stock Exchange, VEB.RF, etc. The effectiveness of the formation of pension savings from public and private pension insurers was assessed by a number of criteria: from the standpoint of the interests of insured persons — these include the profitability of pension savings the reliability of the pension insurer, the possibility of choosing investment strategies; from the standpoint of the interests of society — the evaluation criterion is the use of pension savings as a long-term investment resource for economic development. As a result, it is concluded that the Pension Fund of Russia manages the pension savings of citizens more effectively than private pension funds. This raises the question of whether private pension funds should participate in compulsory pension insurance.

30-41 500
Abstract

The inadequacy of retirement wealth can significantly impact a country’s social support system. The increase of the size of the elderly population in line with the constant growth of life expectancy among Malaysians has triggered a question, are there enough resources to cover needs in retirement years? The main objective of this study is to estimate the retirement income adequacy of future retirees under a defined contribution (DC) plan, which is the Employee Provident Fund (EPF). The projection of retirement income adequacy uses cross-sectional data from the Malaysian Household Income Survey (HIS) 2014, based on 14,169 sample households. The households are categorized according to three different income groups, including Top 20% (T20), Middle 40% (M40) and Bottom 40% (B 40). In addition, this research also investigates the demographic and socio-economic determinants of retirement wealth adequacy using OLS and logistic regression. The result shows that 26% of households in the sample have inadequate retirement income, especially households in the B 40 group.

INVESTMENT POlICY

42-53 435
Abstract

All countries now share a long-term vision of the importance of implementing technology development and transfer to improve climate resilience and reduce greenhouse gas emissions. Metallurgical enterprises play a significant role in achieving this goal, since they produce a large amount of carbon dioxide emissions into the atmosphere. In connection with the changing operating conditions and changing markets of presence, the issues of ensuring their investment attractiveness are acquiring obvious importance in the framework of the finances of Russian metallurgical companies. The object of the study is an assessment of the investment attractiveness of Russian metallurgical companies. The subject of the study is the relationship between the investment attractiveness of metallurgical companies and the results of their environmental protection activities. The purpose of this study is to identify the interdependence of environmental metrics and the investment attractiveness of steel companies. The methodological basis is a regression analysis of the impact of environmental metrics on the investment attractiveness of metallurgical companies. The authors chose the following indicators of environmental performance: CO2 emissions, energy consumption, water recycling, waste. To assess the investment attractiveness of metallurgical companies, the following indicators were used: revenue, EBITDA, investment in R&D. The authors concluded that the environmental activities of companies have a significant impact on their investment attractiveness. The scientific novelty of the study lies in identifying the interdependence of environmental protection activities and the investment attractiveness of Russian metallurgy companies. The results of the study can be used by both Russian steel companies and institutional investors as part of the development of an investment strategy.

INNOVATION INVESTMENT

54-65 381
Abstract

The effectiveness of financing the social security system is one of the key conditions for sustaining sustainable economic growth. The global economic crisis of 2020 associated with the coronavirus pandemic, and the subsequent crisis of 2022, due to the urgent need to carry out a structural transformation of the Russian economy in the context of large-scale international sanctions, emphasized the relevance of the problem of increasing the efficiency of budget expenditures on social policy. The purpose of the study is to develop methodological approaches to the comprehensive analysis of the effectiveness of the State financial and investment model of social security of the population (further — SFIMSS) using the example of data on the socio-economic development of the regions of Russia. The following methods were used: coefficient analysis, ranking, construction of heat maps and regression analysis. The coefficient of efficiency of budget expenditures at the regional level makes it possible to have fairly comprehensive assessments of the regions. The application of the regression analysis methodology makes it possible to expand its effectiveness and identify important dependencies and relationships on the basis of which it is able to establish the policy of state financial regulation. This study evaluated the effectiveness of 85 regions for the period from 2017 to 2021. The most and least effective regions were identified. The construction and interpretation of the regression model made it possible to identify a number of significant exogenous factors such as GRP, GRP per capita, volume indices of GRP, that positively impact the effectiveness of SFIMSS. At the same time, the public debt on loans in rubles, the volume of budget expenditures on social support measures for certain categories, and the proportion of the population older and younger than working age have a negative impact. In the article, recommendations are given on the development of mechanisms for increasing the efficiency and targeting of budget expenditures, as well as the creation of conditions to accelerate economic growth in regions, which will increase the effectiveness of SFIMSS.

PRICING

66-79 335
Abstract

The purpose of this research work is to examine the relationships and price dynamics between agricultural commodities in India, i.e.maize, wheat, barley and soybean. Our approach is to study the long-term relationship using the method of modelling the price transmission for both linear and threshold autoregressive (AR) models and vector error correction (VEC) models. Results revealed that all the price series are well integrated, and threshold error correction models prove that all price series move to restore the long-run relationship, whereas commodity stock prices respond slightly faster than market prices in the short-run. Conclusions from this study show that understanding the price transmission flow and its impact on pricing might help in making better trading strategies. It also regulates the public policy implications of the active participation of farmers in national-level commodity exchanges.

DRIVERS OF ECONOMIC GROWTH

80-92 658
Abstract

At the present time, performance audit has become a major work responsibility of auditing institutions in the world. In China, as the reform of national governance and financial modernization progresses, performance audit has received increasing attention, but it has still not been truly implemented. The purpose of this paper is to identify that influence the development of performance auditing in China. The relevance of the problem is evidenced by the growth of research in the field of public audit and performance audit in recent years. The author reviewed recent publications on this topic by Russian and Chinese authors. In the paper apply the research method to analyses keywords in the State Council Audit Report of China 2011–2021. A wide range of methods of information analysis is used. The results of the research lead to the following conclusions: the basic orientation of China’s performance audit is to supervise and serve the country’s governance; the audit field is inclined to the environment, resources, people’s livelihood, etc.; the audit content transitions from fund management and use to policy implementation and project management; audit evaluation standards increase equity and environmental friendliness on the basis of “3E” (economy, efficiency, effectiveness); audit methods highlight modern tools such as big data auditing. The attention and promotion of performance audit by the legislative authority is an essential requirement for its growth in China.

TAX POlICY

93-103 318
Abstract

The subject of the study is the revenues from the corporate property tax in the context of types of economic activity and regions. The purpose of the study is to determine the role of corporate property tax in the structure of tax revenues in terms of economic activity to identify areas for potential growth of revenues from this tax and determine the fiscal and economic consequences of the transition to the cadastral valuation of real estate with the appropriate development of proposals to improve the taxation of real estate. The relevance of the research is due to the fact that the article is devoted to a little researched topic — analysis of property taxation in the Russian Federation in the economic activity context. The main method of research is the calculation of indicators characterizing the structure and dynamics of the corporate property tax and other property taxes, analysis and synthesis of the obtained results and their inter-sectoral comparison. As a result, a comprehensive view of the situation with the tax on the property of organizations in the context of economic activity is presented, which serves as a basis for finding bottlenecks in this part, identifying the factors that hinder the expansion of property taxation and other promising areas for research in this area. The interpretation of the obtained results in terms of the role of corporate property tax and other property taxes at different levels of the budget system should be attributed to the main conclusions. The cross-section allowed us to identify points for the potential growth of tax revenues from the corporate property tax in terms of objects, for which the tax base is the cadastral value.

104-117 846
Abstract

Fiscal policy plays a crucial role in ensuring economic growth and development in the country and overcoming economic recessions. The subject of the research is the tax system in the Republic of Armenia. The study aims to identify and assess the impact of the fiscal policy on economic growth in the Republic of Armenia. Since the global financial crisis of 2008, the Armenian economy has been in stagnation, reaching pre-crisis GDP levels only in 2018. Both theory and practice point to the ambiguous nature of the impact of fiscal policy on economic growth. At the same time, the 2020 crisis caused by the pandemic exacerbated the situation by focusing the attention of economists on fiscal policy to stimulate the real sector of the economy, which justifies the relevance of the current study. The paper’s novelty lies in assessing the impact of certain types of taxes on the economic growth rates in Armenia. To achieve the goal of the study, the authors use such methods as a comparative analysis of foreign studies and systemic and statistical analysis. To econometrically assess the impact of taxes on economic growth in the country, a vector autoregression (VAR) model was applied. As a result of the study, the authors found that both tax regulation in general and the individual taxes are restrictive in nature and have a negative impact on economic growth in the country. The authors conclude that such a restrictive policy has led to a slowdown in economic growth in the Republic of Armenia over the past decades

118-130 410
Abstract

The object of the study is the valuation and commercialization of digital intellectual assets. The subject of the study is a conceptual model for assessing the value of digital intellectual assets, reflecting the regulatory framework, objects, subjects, principles, approaches and methods of evaluation involved in civil turnover. The relevance of the study is related to the development of the digital economy and emerging new types of digital assets, including digital intellectual assets, which require their identification and the formation of a theoretical and methodological basis for valuation. The purpose of the study is to build a conceptual model for estimating the value of digital intellectual assets for subsequent commercialization with consideration of the identified identification characteristics, substantiated principles, factors, approaches and methodological tools. The methods of comparative analysis, generalization, classification, logical, semantic and functional modeling, cost estimation are used in the paper. The trends of digitalization of the economy are analyzed, the identification features of digital intellectual assets are determined based on the study of the concepts of “digital asset”, “intellectual asset”, “object of valuation”. A semantic model of the valuation of digital intellectual assets is proposed, illustrating the relationship of its conceptual elements. A process-functional model for estimating the value of digital intellectual assets in IDEF0 notation is constructed. It is concluded that digital intellectual assets as objects of valuation in the conditions of the current regulatory regulation are: 1) the results of intellectual activity created with the use of digital technologies, for which digital rights are fixed in the information system in the form of NFT tokens; 2) digital rights to use intellectual property objects that exist in digital or other forms. Their cost can be determined by the method of analogues, the method of discounted cash flows or the cost of creation method, depending on the purpose of the assessment, the identified factors and taking into account the principles of evaluation.

CORPORATE FINANCE

131-141 701
Abstract

The sceptical attitude towards linking corporate social responsibility (CSR) and corporate financial performance (CFP) forms the basis of this study. The available literature concentrates only on the positive side of CSR activities and benefits derived from them. The Companies Act, 2013, has made it mandatory for Indian companies of a certain turnover and profit to use 2% of their profits from the past three years on CSR activities. Given this background, this study examines the impact of CSR on the financial performance of the business itself. The economic legitimacy of CSR is also probed, that is, does CSR have a positive economic impact? For this examination, the Pearson Fixed effects panel regression analysis was performed on Nifty 50 companies during the period 2010–2018. Data regarding financial performance variables was obtained from Prowess IQ database. The CSR data was collected from the companies’ annual reports and content analysis was done using NVIVO software. The results of the study provide insights into the corporate response to the mandatory requirement of CSR activities and their impact on the company’s financial performance. The results of the study conclude that there is no significant influence of CSR on the financial performance of Indian companies.

142-152 470
Abstract

The purpose of the study was to evaluate the performance of large domestic and foreign oil and gas companies based on a factor analysis of the return on equity in the context of financial and economic crises. The relevance of the topic is due, on the one hand, to the leading role of the oil and gas industry in the Russian economy, and, on the other hand, to the need develop modern tools for the assessment and prediction of the performance of companies and comparison of the results of economic activity with those of foreign competitors. The object of the study was the financial performance of the largest domestic and foreign vertically integrated oil and gas companies. The subject of the study is the methods of deterministic factor analysis for assessing indicators in the oil and gas sector. The paper analyzes the main empirical indicators that reflect the degree of efficiency, justifies the choice of the profitability indicator of own assets as the main indicator for research in the oil and gas industry, analyzes approaches to assessing the contribution of various factors to the final efficiency. Methods of classification, decomposition, statistical, comparative and factor analysis were used. A five-factor DuPont decomposition of the return on equity was carried out, and the key factors affecting the efficiency of companies were identified: tax burden coefficient, percentage burden coefficient, return on sales, asset turnover ratio, financial leverage ratio. Using the LMDI‑1 model, the impact of changes in economic factors on changes in the efficiency of companies in 2013–2017 and 2018–2021 was assessed. It was concluded that domestic companies, on average, slightly outperformed foreign ones in terms of the considered efficiency indicator and coped better with the consequences of financial and economic crises in the periods under review. At the same time, domestic companies have a higher value of the tax burden coefficient with lower values of assets turnover and financial leverage.

FINANCIAL CONTROL

153-163 504
Abstract

At present, financial report fraud is becoming more frequent with the continuous development of the world economy. How to provide early warning before financial report fraud occurs has become more and more important. The purpose of this paper is to set up a logistic regression model, namely an ex-ante warning model, which can provide early warning before financial report fraud occurs, by comparing the governance of financial report fraudulent companies and non-fraudulent ones. First, this paper uses the “fraud triangle” theory as a framework to find the relevant proxy variables for fraud opportunities, fraud pressure, and fraud rationalization. Second, the study uses T-test, Mann-Whitney test and chi-square test to identify statistically significant differences among these proxy variables. Hypotheses were made about the relationship between the coefficient values and the presence of false behavior in the reports. Finally, an ex-ante fraud warning model is set up from the indicators with statistically significant differences, meanwhile the hypotheses regarding the behavior of the indicators and their impact on the model are tested. The overall accuracy of the ex-ante fraud early warning model developed in this paper is 70.9%. How to further debug the model to make the screening of fraudulent companies more accurate is the difficulty and further research direction of the article.

INTERNATIONAL FINANCE

164-172 490
Abstract

The inclusion of the most dynamically developing countries in global value chains marked a gradual shift in the center of economic gravity in the world economy from the West to the East. In an effort to maintain their leading positions in the global monetary and financial system, today Western countries, led by the United States, create artificial barriers for developing countries to access the global financial architecture, which contradicts the logic and laws of the free market and increases geopolitical tensions. The purpose of the paper is to reveal and systematize the main factors contributing to the dysfunctionality of the modern world monetary and financial system and develop conceptual approaches to increasing its stability, taking into account the capabilities and interests of the most dynamically developing countries. The following methods were used to achieve the paper’s goal: scientific abstraction (to generalize the crisis-generating factors of the modern world monetary and financial system); structural and functional analysis (to justify the need to form a “non-dollar” interregional (transcontinental) monetary and financial space and the possibility of the BRICS countries creating their own payment and settlement infrastructure and international liquidity); deduction and comparison (to identify problems that hinder China’s promotion to the role of the leader of the new world economic order and disclosure of contradictions in the monetary and financial regionalization of the single European market). A comprehensive approach has been developed to form and ensure the functionality of the interregional (transcontinental) monetary and financial space of the BRICS countries, including measures aimed at countering the institutional monopolization of the functions of global financial intermediation by defining their own norms, rules and standards for the functioning and regulation of interregional financial markets by the BRICS countries. From a practical point of view, this approach can be used by the government bodies of the Russian Federation and the Bank of Russia to develop a new strategy and tactics for the country’s international monetary and financial cooperation in the face of tougher external sanctions, as well as to develop appropriate measures aimed at ensuring Russia’s financial and economic sovereignty.

ECONOMIC THEORY

173-183 278
Abstract

Авторы проверяют гипотезу о  том, что глобализация не прекращается, а  становится региональной, в  связи с чем формируются интеграционные ядра в каждом регионе. Цель работы — выявить характерные черты «новой глобализации» и  характера работы интеграционных ядер. Для достижения цели поставлен ряд задач: проанализировать интеграционные процессы в азиатском и латиноамериканском регионах с использованием эконометрических методов, проверить наличие предпосылок для формирования интеграционных ядер в исследуемых регионах, выделить особенности этих процессов. Использованы методы динамического норматива, статистического и корреляционного анализа. Гипотеза доказана через систему разработанных инструментов в  части формирования интеграционного ядра в Азии и  опровергнута для Латинской Америки. Определены следующие особенности интеграционных ядер: противодействие неоколониализму; продвижение экспортоориентированной модели; технологическая кооперация; способность превзойти страны англосаксонского мир-системного ядра в экономическом развитии; выделение новых черт глобализации — увеличение издержек взаимодействия между странами и ядрами; конфликтогенность и фрагментированность самого процесса глобализации; выделение возможных путей кросс-ядерных взаимодействий. Ключевым выводом исследования стало доказательство гипотезы о формировании глобализационных ядер и изменении процесса глобализации в сторону его фрагментированности.

MONETARY & CREDIT POLICY

184-193 369
Abstract

During the period of monetary policy easing in Russia, mortgage refinancing became popular, which involves the issuance of a new mortgage housing loan to repay an earlier loan on more favorable terms. There is a regionally heterogeneous refinancing of mortgages at lower mortgage rates. The purpose of this paper is to quantify the impact of monetary easing on mortgage refinancing and household consumption for groups of Russian regions. Econometric methods (vector autoregression models on panel data, estimated by Bayesian methods) and multivariate clustering (hierarchical analysis, k-means method) were used in the paper. Based on the impulse response functions, it is shown that during the period of monetary policy easing, the greatest effect of lowering mortgage interest rates on refinancing is typical for groups of regions with high- and middle-income levels, a liquid housing market, and a developed mortgage market. It is proven that refinancing is involved in the transfer of the effects of monetary policy to consumer spending and consumer lending, and this transfer is heterogeneously. Refinancing in low-income regions stimulates consumption and consumer borrowing. In regions with an average and high level of per capita cash income, after refinancing, consumer spending and consumer loans are temporarily reduced. The obtained results can be explained by the different types of financial behavior of borrowers in the use of top-up mortgage refinancing, depending on the level of their cash income. Based on the results of the study, the hypothesis about the heterogeneity of the refinancing channel in the Russian regions was confirmed. The scientific novelty of the study consists in the development of a methodological approach to the study of the refinancing channel and its approbation on Russian regional data.

194-205 423
Abstract

Over the past few years in Russia and the world there has been a rapid development of goods and services e-commerce. Therefore, an issue of inflationary consequences of the process of e-commerce growth is topical. The subject of this research is the impact of the development of e-commerce on inflation. The purpose of the paper to identify key theoretical mechanisms of e-commerce development influence on inflation, in addition to empirically verify the presence of the de-inflation effect on Russian data. The paper bases on methods of systematization, descriptive analysis, panel data econometric analysis. Also systematize basic mechanisms of e-commerce influence and provide empirical evidence for the disinflationary effect of ecommerce in Russian regions as a result of the study. The study concludes that e-commerce causes predominantly downward pressure on prices and inflation. Econometric analysis confirms this effect on Russian regions data in 2014–2020. The scientific novelty of the research lies in systematization of channels of e-commerce influence on various spheres of economy and confirmation of disinflationary effect of e-commerce using Russian data. The study’s recommendation is to consider the aspect of price reduction pressure in Russia’s monetary policy during the further spread of e-commerce.

206-218 386
Abstract

The subject of the study is loans secured by republican brands from the regional banking syndicate of the Republic of Tatarstan. The object of the study is regional banks and key companies of the Republic of Tatarstan. The relevance of the study is due to the need to introduce promising types of loans, increase interest income and increase the competitiveness of regional banks; providing opportunities for regional companies to raise funds to finance their activities. The goal is to determine the possibility of granting syndicated loans secured by republican brands to the regional banking syndicate of Tatarstan. Information base — official data of the Bank of Russia, Rospatent, companies and banks. Methods of sampling, grouping, analysis, comparison, analogy, synthesis, generalization are used. The results are as follows. The concentration of functioning regional banks in the federal districts was determined as of December 20, 2021. As of October 1, 2021, an analysis of key indicators of banks registered in Tatarstan was carried out. The characteristics of transactions of pledge of exclusive rights to objects of intellectual property (IP on OIP) in Tatarstan for 2014–2021 are presented (pledgers, pledgees, the number and types of OIP pledged, the duration of each of the pledge agreements, the number and date of official state registration, the number of contracts). It can be concluded that the banks of Tatarstan have the opportunity to provide local companies with syndicated loans. Recommendations were given: 1) it was proposed to merge local banks of Tatarstan into a regional banking syndicate to provide syndicated loans against various types of collateral, including intellectual assets owned by leading companies in Tatarstan; 2) consider the possibility of using popular brands of companies operating in Tatarstan as collateral. A list of companies and their brands has been compiled, and characteristics of corporate brands have been given. The list of brands that can be pledged also includes the republican brands “Heritage of Tatarstan” and “Visit Tatarstan”; 3) the expected positive results of interaction for all participants of the regional banking syndicate are determined. Directions of research: assessment of the possibility of attracting banks from other Russian regions for interaction.



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ISSN 2587-5671 (Print)
ISSN 2587-7089 (Online)